A brief introduction to BNU-HESM1.0 and its earth surface temperature simulations     

Shili Yang  Wenjie Dong  Jieming Chou  Jinming Feng  Xiaodong Yan  Zhigang Wei  Wenping Yuan  Yan Guo  Yanli Tang  Jiacong Hu 《大气科学进展》2015,32(12):1683-1688

Integrated assessment models and coupled earth system models both have their limitations in understanding the interactions between human activity and the physical earth system. In this paper,a new human–earth system model,BNUHESM1.0,constructed by combining the economic and climate damage components of the Dynamic Integrated Model of Climate Change and Economy to the BNU-ESM model,is introduced. The ability of BNU-HESM1.0 in simulating the global CO2 concentration and surface temperature is also evaluated. We find that,compared to observation,BNU-HESM1.0underestimates the global CO2 concentration and its rising trend during 1965–2005,due to the uncertainty in the economic components. However,the surface temperature simulated by BNU-HESM1.0 is much closer to observation,resulting from the overestimates of surface temperature by the original BNU-ESM model. The uncertainty of BNU-ESM falls within the range of present earth system uncertainty,so it is the economic and climate damage component of BNU-HESM1.0 that needs to be improved through further study. However,the main purpose of this paper is to introduce a new approach to investigate the complex relationship between human activity and the earth system. It is hoped that it will inspire further ideas that prove valuable in guiding human activities appropriate for a sustainable future climate.  相似文献   

Personal experience with climate change predicts intentions to act     

《Global Environmental Change》2015

The public's willingness to engage in mitigation actions has not received as much attention as the level of belief in Global Warming (GW), especially on the international stage. Research in Western nations indicates that people systematically misunderstand GW and the actions required for mitigation. Important factors that influence judgments about mitigation actions include personal experiences, beliefs, knowledge, values, and worldviews. We present results of an international survey (25 samples from 24 countries) measuring general intentions to act and willingness to engage in specific actions. Our analysis reveals that endorsement of specific actions is (a) lower than general endorsement of mitigation, (b) accompanied by higher intra-individual variance, and (c) more strongly related to personal experiences with GW. This pattern can be attributed to the compatibility between the proximal construal of specific actions and the nature of the personal experience. Lastly we provide recommendations on how these findings can be used to encourage mitigation action.  相似文献   

iGMAS全球电离层TEC格网产品精度分析     

李涌涛  马洪磊  李建文  师一帅  米科峰  朱璇 《测绘科学》2021,46(2):7-14,41

为了分析与评估国际GNSS监测评估系统(iGMAS)全球电离层TEC格网产品精度,该文基于iGMAS及IGS各电离层分析中心发布的全球电离层TEC格网产品,进行了精度比较分析,结果表明:iGMAS与IGS、CODE、JPL、ESOC、UPC等IGS电离层工作组发布的全球电离层TEC格网产品,在全球、不同纬度带和欧洲等不同区域均表现出较高的一致性和强相关性,互差为0~2.0 TECU;JPL分析中心GIM的内符合精度约为2.5 TECU,iGMAS、IGS、CODE、ESOC和UPC等分析中心GIM的内符合精度均小于1.5 TECU;在2~8 TECU的精度范围内,iGMAS全球电离层TEC格网产品的精度总体与IGS、CODE、JPL、ESOC、UPC等IGS电离层工作组的精度相当。  相似文献   

泥火山的全球分布和研究进展   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

黄华谷  邸鹏飞  陈多福 《矿物岩石地球化学通报》2011,30(2):189-197

本文系统介绍了泥火山的全球分布特征、分类、成矿、成因特征和机制、生物地球化学和地质灾害。泥火山是盆地地层深部含水的泥质物在高压作用下喷出地表形成的锥状沉积体,主要发育在沉积速率较快和有横向挤压构造作用的盆地中。全球陆地有超过40个泥火山发育区,海底有超过20个泥火山发育区,每个发育区有几座到200多座泥火山不等,陆地和浅海区共有2000多个泥火山。各地泥火山有不同的喷发周期,喷发物也各有不同的形态、成分、来源和年龄。尽管泥火山的成因机制尚颇有争议,但较快的沉积速率和活动大陆边缘横向构造挤压作用无疑是两个最为关键的因素。由于泥火山对大地构造属性、油气勘探、生物地球化学、地质灾害和全球气候变化等问题的研究有着重要的意义,已逐渐成为地球科学一个新的研究热点。  相似文献   

基于电子海图的智能潜水器路径规划研究     

孙俊岭 《海洋工程》2011,29(4):135-140

随着地理信息系统技术的发展,电子海图作为一种专门的电子地图也越来越成熟。电子海图中提供了详细而准确的海洋环境信息。利用电子海图的环境建模和考虑海流因素的遗传搜索策略为解决大范围海洋环境下智能潜水器全局路径规划提供了一个新的方法。利用电子海图中的信息对智能潜水器的工作环境进行环境建模,以遗传多目标优化算法为搜索策略进行全局路径规划,并考虑海流因素对潜水器的影响,使潜水器在航行时可充分利用海流的能量。通过仿真试验对环境建模和路径规划进行了验证。该方法具有很好的实用性。  相似文献   

青岛日偏食对GPS定位精度的影响     

褚宏宪  史慧杰  冯京  周晓明 《海洋测绘》2011,31(6):42-44

2009年7月22日日全食期间,在青岛采用固定点监测单频GPS信号,同时利用非日食期的单频GPS信号监测数据统计对比分析认为,青岛发生的日偏食现象,对GPS单频接收系统的导航定位精度有影响.表现为误差有所增大,接收卫星数减少,PDOP值增大.短时位置偏差最大值为4.02m,历时2min 48s.但青岛地区日偏食对GPS...  相似文献   

Review of China's scientific research progress in polar meteorology in the last 30 years     

LU LongHua  BIAN LinGen 《极地研究(英文版)》2011,22(1):1-9

The Antarctic and Arctic are sensitive to global climate change; therefore, they are key regions of global climate change research. This paper, the progress in scientific investigations and research regarding the atmosphere in the polar regions over the last 30 years by Chinese scientists is summarized. Primary understanding of the relationship between the polar regions and global change, especially, the variations in time and space in the Antarctic and Arctic regions with respect to climate change is indicated. Operational weather forecasts for investigation of the polar regions have also been established. Moreover, changes in sea ice and their impact on the atmosphere of polar regions have been diagnosed and simulated. Parameterization of the atmospheric boundary layer of different underlying layers and changes in the atmospheric ozone in the polar region has also been experimented. Overall, there has been great progress in studies of the possible impact of changes in the atmospheric environment of polar regions on circulation in East Asia and the climate of China.  相似文献   

变值配置函数空间整体编码族的2维对称性     

郑智捷 《成都信息工程学院学报》2011,(6):579-589

研究0-1多元变量的逻辑函数及其整体配置函数空间变值编码表示特性。根据对称特性,系统地定义一批整体编码结构:邵雍-Leibniz码、广义码、文王码、伏羲码和共轭码。展示变值向量配置函数空间规模以及函数群集的状态空间组织结构。对各类编码系列的可区分数目,给出计算公式。2维变值展示框架展现在变值配置函数空间中不同编码族具有的内蕴对称特性。分层结构编码配置函数空间和2维展现描述体系,为基于东方逻辑传统的现代逻辑架构:变值逻辑体系,利用高维分析工具探讨0-1序列非线性超复杂逻辑变换开辟道路。  相似文献   

长江源区通天河基流的计算与分析     

钱开铸  吕京京  裴超重  梁四海  万力 《干旱区地理》2011,34(3):511-518

通天河是长江源区最大干流,其径流与基流的变化基本上反映了整个源区的水文与水文地质特征.根据长江源区通天河流域的径流变化及区域水文地质条件等特征,首次选用改进加里宁方法计算了通天河直门达水文站1957-2009年实测径流量的基流;分析了该流域基流量的多年变化,研究了拐点流量Q0、退水指数α值及比例系数B值与基流量的关系....  相似文献   

流域生态水文模型研究进展   总被引：3，自引：1，他引：2  

陈腊娇  朱阿兴  秦承志  李润奎  刘京  刘军志 《地理科学进展》2011,30(5):535-544

流域生态水文模型是全球变化下流域生态水文响应研究的重要工具,通过定量刻画植被与水文过程的相互作用及全球变化对流域生态水文过程演变的影响机制,为流域水资源管理和生态恢复提供科学支撑,是生态水文研究的前沿和热点.基于植被与水文过程相互作用规律,流域生态水文模型一方面要充分描述植被与水文过程相互作用和互为反馈机制,另一方面要...  相似文献